The Phoenix housing market update for August 2022 below has been provided by The Cromford® Report. It features the stats you need to know and explains what they mean if you’re thinking about buying or selling a home right now.
If you would like similar information about the real estate market in a specific city or zip code within Greater Phoenix, let us know! We’d be happy to send it to you.
Good news for buyers, the number of closings with seller-paid closing costs rose 27% in July compared to June equating to 7% of all closings for the month. That may not sound like much, but that’s the highest it’s been since March 2021. Prior to 2020, the established baseline for seller-paid closing cost assistance averaged 25-28% of MLS sales and over the past 15 months the average has been just 3-4.5%. The increase is expected to continue as large cash-based investors have pulled back their acquisitions, leaving many sellers to cater to normal buyers once again. For most of 2021 and the first part of 2022, buyers had very little time to decide on a property before it went under contract. Last May, half of all homes that went under contract were on the market for only 7 days or less.
This month, homes are on the market a median of 21 days prior to an accepted contract, giving buyers more breathing room for a second showing and less pressure to make a decision on the spot.
More evidence of a growing buyer’s advantage, the percentage of properties closing over list price has declined from 58% in April to 24% August-to-date and continues to decline. The median amount over list has also declined from $20,000 to $7,000. As the current balanced market continues, expect to see this measure drop to just 10%-15% closing over list.
The last week in July saw 4,172 price reductions on Greater Phoenix listings, equating to 26% of active supply for that week. The median price reduction was $15,000 and 78% were over $5,000. The peak of price for 2022 so far was May, since then the median sales price has declined 6.25% from $480K to $450K. That’s an average of 2% per month* thus far, however, the downward trend has not been consistent across all price ranges; a detail not reflected in the median sale price measure. To analyze the price response by sales price range, we use the sales price per square foot. In May, the peak sales price per square foot overall was $305.99, August-to-date is $289.89, a 5.3% drop averaging 1.8% per month*. This is a similar result to the change in median sale price, but by price range the distribution looks like this:
The table shows that properties between $1M-$1.5M have seen the strongest decline since May, with an average decline of 3.2% per month. This is the only price range above the overall average decline of 1.8%. The runner-up is the $500K-$800K with an average decline of 1.2% per month. All other price points are within 0.6% of May’s average 3 months ago as of August 9th.
*Not a calendar month
Whether you’re a buyer, seller, or investor, The Hill Group has the experience and strategies to help you reach your real estate goals this year. Let us know how we can help!
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Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Housing Analyst with The Cromford Report
©2022 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC